Everything net
Everything relevant to the thought
... In popular media, there is often a connection drawn between the advent of awareness in artificial agents and those same agents simultaneously achieving human or superhuman level intelligence. ...
... We find that all three theories specifically relate conscious function to some aspect of domain-general intelligence in humans. ...
... Given this apparent trend, we use the motivating example of mental time travel in humans to propose ways in which insights from each of the three theories may be combined into a unified model. ...
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... I'm reading @mattyglesias and thinking that bubble-phobia was a major factor behind the bad economic performance of the Bush and Obama years. https://t.co/p8zhQAIA2D https://t.co/xBi4kjjAXK In the early 2000s, people exaggerated the frothiness of the tech bubble and the harms from its crash. ...
... When a sluggish recovery finally started to gain steam in 2004-5, triggering a housing boom, people once again over-estimated its frothiness. This bubble frame caused the Fed to react too slowly to the onset of the Great Recession from December 2007 to September 2008. ...
... Then the idea that 1999 and 2006 were driven by unsustainable bubbles, as opposed to just being healthy economic booms, prevented people from recognizing how far the US economy was below potential from 2010 to 2015. ...
... People in the early 2010s assumed we had to live with a permanently shitty economy to avoid having more bubbles. But now we know that was wrong. The economy was still way below potential in 2015, and it's possible to recover rapidly from a recession with appropriate macro policy. ...
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... This @JosephPolitano writeup is invaluable for understanding how this works. https://t.co/mmlaHCOVYW https://t.co/xtCyVhGzZl The use of OER to measure housing costs strikes a lot of people as goofy when they first hear about it. ...
... You could survey homeowners on their mortgage payments, but then would you price it based on the mortgages people actually pay (which would include people who bought homes 20 years ago and therefore have tiny payments) or what they would pay if they bought their house now? ...
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... I have no idea. https://t.co/kFojw7CxsT This chart debunks the widely-held belief that housing construction was out of control in 2005. Housing production was actually pretty normal! ...
... What was exceptional was the deep post-2007 housing bust—driven I think by the mistaken belief there had been a big housing bubble. https://t.co/MEOt8eRT7J This chart helps to illustrate why home prices have risen so much in the last few years: the sticker price is at a record high, low interest rates ...
... So people keep upping their bids. https://t.co/TfGPftqOoj I'm grateful to @PEWilliams_ for giving me the data to make this chart. ...
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... Price controls VERY occasionally have their uses — during wartime when rationing is rampant and perceived fairness/lack of profiteering are important 2/ There's also a *possible* argument for temporary controls to break a wage-price spiral that is persisting despite a weak economy — although making ...
... Not all bad ideas come from the right 5/ ...
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... For teachers who don't understand Asian heritage languages, how to encourage children's multilingual development in the classroom? ...
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... Thread… Here’s my basic understanding of the model: the economy has some industries that are capital intensive and others that are not. When the central bank makes interest rates artificially low, it makes capital investment cheap and skews the economy toward capital intensive sectors. ...
... Society needs to produce fewer factories and machine tools and more beer and pairs of pants (or whatever). ...
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... The WWW connections work by pulling, one item can pull another one by having a hyperlink to it. But such a link is one-way: the reader of the linking item can easily go to the linked one but not the other way around. The mind net aim to make such links bi-directional. ...
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... A system can be created to let users record their inquiry thoughts/ideas as observations, hypotheses, and predictions (OH&P). ...
... Thanks to the intrinsic structure, the system can digitalize these thoughts/ideas with auto connections and visualization, thus providing an automatic way to organize these thoughts/ideas. We can call this digitalized mind. ...
... The digitalized mind makes thoughts/ideas easier to consume, assess and generate new insights. ...
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... [The net view](https://www.themind.net/mapItems/Hypothesis/348E44hASHa7AvgODCLkyg/net/?netViewMode=FormalGraph) ...
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... A system that lets users record their inquiry thoughts/ideas as observations, hypotheses, and predictions (OH&P) can provide a new mode of communication and collaboration between users - they can structurally connect their atomic OH&P directly to other users' OH&P. ...
... ([This is challenging](https://www.themind.net/observations/4fcVuFGoTEa43ez-xhSAsg) when thoughts/ideas are organized in the usual narrative structure, such as books, lectures, and talks). ...
... Such a system that connects atomic ideas and thoughts between users might achieve a **digitalized collective mind**. Digitalized mind means all ideas/thoughts are digitalized, collective meaning that these ideas/thoughts are contributed by multiple users and digitally connected to each other. ...
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... Collective digitalized mind, i.e. digitalized and connected thoughts/ideas from multiple users by itself, may not automatically achieve collective intelligence (the intelligent capabilities of solving problems collectively). ...
... If all thoughts and ideas are given equal weight and importance in the collective mind, it may be too swamped with them and fail to be coherent or useful. ...
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... Aggregation of opinions over the thoughts and ideas in a digitalized collective mind to give them different weights and importance might be the way to achieve CI in DCM. ...
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... **Observation:** An observed empirical fact, indisputable for reasonable people. **Hypothesis:** A conjecture that is generalized from observations (induction), or deducted from other hypotheses (deduction). Collectively, hypotheses constitute our model (or theory) of the world. ...
... The relationships between these categories of thoughts are fixed. In another sentence, there is an algebra in these elements of thoughts. ...
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