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The end of history when group selection is ...
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... A Chinese student reflects on why her country is authoritarian—and how democracy has a chance. <em>Look for AP’s symposium on the China challenge, in partnership with the Hoover Institution, in early spring.</em> ...

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Democracy China Authoritarianism
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... The authors here show that readiness to cooperate between individuals from different groups corresponds to the degree of cultural similarity between those groups. This is consistent with the theory of Cultural Group Selection as an explanation for the rise of human large-scale cooperation. ...

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... In popular media, there is often a connection drawn between the advent of awareness in artificial agents and those same agents simultaneously achieving human or superhuman level intelligence. ...

... We do so by examining the cognitive abilities associated with three contemporary theories of conscious function: Global Workspace Theory (GWT), Information Generation Theory (IGT), and Attention Schema Theory (AST). ...

... We find that all three theories specifically relate conscious function to some aspect of domain-general intelligence in humans. ...

... With this insight, we turn to the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and find that, while still far from demonstrating general intelligence, many state-of-the-art deep learning methods have begun to incorporate key aspects of each of the three functional theories. ...

... Given this apparent trend, we use the motivating example of mental time travel in humans to propose ways in which insights from each of the three theories may be combined into a unified model. ...

... We believe that doing so can enable the development of artificial agents which are not only more generally intelligent but are also consistent with multiple current theories of conscious function. ...

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... It feels like we are living through one of those kind of boring interregnum periods that will get short shrift in history textbooks. Like 1870-1900 in America or 100-150 in the Roman Empire. ...

... It modestly accelerated the integration of Europe and the global decline of interest rates but didn’t otherwise bring about any significant, lasting change to economic policy. Biden is definitely on track to be one of those presidents nobody remembers like Carter, taft, or Harrison. ...

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... This might explain the relatively flattened bell curve of IQ distribution in the male population. This part of the population is usually where the manipulation happens (i.e. politics) ...

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... Meaning that an economy has a long run potential level of output that it will return to regardless of what policy the central bank pursues. This makes no sense to me. ...

... So imagine a sadistic central bank whose monetary policy is to target a 1 percent decline of real output each year. There's no "long run" point where the economy will return to its pre-recession trend. Output will continue shrinking as long as the central bank pursues this policy. ...

... People who graduate from college during a recession have lower wages a decade later. https://t.co/y3JaNHffTX During recessions governments and businesses often cut back on R&D. ...

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The United States should craft a strategy aimed at altering the calculus of Beijing’s decision-makers.
Foreign Policy China U.S. Foreign Policy Discussion reply
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... There will be a FOMO race for top A.I. startups. I'm already seeing it. THAT said, if you are A.I. and profitable, you will demand double the valuation instantly. Nothing beats controlling your own destiny. ...

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... The foundational idea of the End of History is inherited from Hegel - man's desire for recognition overriding other desires (mainly preservation) is something that transcends humans, something that proves man's freedom. ...

... This is an outdated view that sees humans as isolated individuals rather than members of social groups. This desire for recognition is probably a product of group competition and the recognition is about one's worth to the community in the context of fierce group competition between communities. ...

... Without a better understanding of this desire for recognition through the lens of group competition, ideas built on top of it are flaky as well. ...

... For example, we don't know which desire is more prominent: the desire for equal recognition for each member or the desire for the recognition of the community as a whole. In modernity, the further is represented by liberal democracy while the latter by nationalism. ...

... In *End of History,* Fukuyama took one paragraph to dismiss nationalism as an irrational one in contrast with the desire for recognition at the individual level. This distinction, as demonstrated above, is not well-founded. ...

... The argument for liberal democratic being more rational is that it's the only way to reconcile competing desires for individual recognition. This is based on the assumption that individual recognition dominates the projected national recognition. ...

... It's more evident that the majority of a social group is prone to manipulation, be it religion, ideologies, etc while liberal democracy is just one of them to support elected orligarchy. And that is supported by group competition theories. ...

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End of History
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... History started when human species began to dominate the ecologic environment and started to compete for survival as social groups, it will end when the survival competition between social groups ends. ...

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End of History
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... Most of the analysis from Fukuyama's end of history would fall apart in a scenario in which state competition no longer exists. ...

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End of History
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... Wars are unavoidable when there are states and competition between them. But without state competition, there is no guarantee that a unified global liberalism democracy community won't fall into a totalitarian regime. ...

... Most of the analysis from Fukuyama's end of history would fall apart in a scenario in which state competition no longer exists. ...

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End of History State War
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... There are some insights from this [article](https://www.americanpurpose.com/articles/dreaming-of-democracy-in-china/) by an anonymous writer - particularly the categorization of China as an egoist society. Although this is probably not due to the "Class struggle" as suggested by the article. ...

... This theory is inspired by Fukuyama's theory that patrimonial political order is the default that humans fall back to. Personally, I think the key still lies in the power balance between society and state. ...

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democracy China Fukuyama
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... In an oligarchy republic, one politician can exploit popular support to overcome other competitors, and in extremes become a despotist. The so-called democracy is basically populist politics normalized in an oligarchy. ...

... The legitimacy problem - i.e. how the members of the society accept the political institution, is only a problem within the elites. For the non-elite population, such questions can be easily settled through political manipulation, like Cesar and Hitler. ...

... Some of them may utilize popular support to overthrow the institution, but it's a kind of manipulation - not that the population awakens to some more legitimate alternatives. ...

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End of History
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... [This theory](https://themind.net/references/qwoOUjrRSwaFZrY5G3vEEA), as pointed out by the paper, can have a great impact if widely understood by the general public > though their effect on human self-understanding and self-images, will eventually assist us in dealing with not only the traumas of ...

... conflicts between individuals and small groups but our bizarre international competitions and our stubbornness in seeking pleasures that threaten the long-term future of our planet as a human environment. ...

... More specifics of this theory [Dealing with social circumstances was the real challenge in human evolution](https://themind.net/references/gcEc3uCVR_ePqgoY_DPriA) [Why humans continue to live in groups](https://themind.net/references/GjY_8sBoS4CFHn23oOoz9g) Recent research on [Human large-scale cooperation ...

... as a product of competition between cultural groups](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-14416-8) The [inclusive fitness theory](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inclusive_fitness) provides the math formula regarding social behavior as a product of group selection. ...

... The multilevel selection theory provides a specific model for how group competition can be a selection force for gene evolution. ...

... [Other theories about human the evolution of human intelligence ](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolution_of_human_intelligence) [Another Paper about EDSC](http://web.missouri.edu/~gearyd/Flinnetal2005.pdf) by Flinn, Geary and Ward, comprehensively presented supporting evidences for this theory. ...

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Cultrual Group Selection EDSC
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... Traits like ultra-altruism, large-scale cooperation, longing for belonging to a group, and intergroup aggression are hard to explain through individual gene selection alone. ...

... In comparison, Darwinian group selection (direct gene selection at the group level) has too many contingencies and, thus, is much less probable as the main selection force for these traits. ...

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Hegel declared this as the end of the history and went on to claim that liberal societies were free from contradiction and would therefore bring historical dialectic to a close. My critique: can we claim absolute self-consciousness when we still don't know how evolution history formed our biological nature? Is that something attainable only after theories like EDSC is in man's consciousness? As for "liberal societies free from contradiction", is the universal equality and the need for struggling in social group competition a contradiction? A liberal society can't just focus on its own principles of equal rights, it still has to serve another survival function: to compete with other social groups, liberal or not. Isn't that a contradiction?
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