Everything net
Everything relevant to the thought
... It feels like we are living through one of those kind of boring interregnum periods that will get short shrift in history textbooks. Like 1870-1900 in America or 100-150 in the Roman Empire. ...
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... In popular media, there is often a connection drawn between the advent of awareness in artificial agents and those same agents simultaneously achieving human or superhuman level intelligence. ...
... We find that all three theories specifically relate conscious function to some aspect of domain-general intelligence in humans. ...
... Given this apparent trend, we use the motivating example of mental time travel in humans to propose ways in which insights from each of the three theories may be combined into a unified model. ...
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... This part of the population is usually where the manipulation happens (i.e. politics) ...
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... I have no idea. https://t.co/kFojw7CxsT This chart debunks the widely-held belief that housing construction was out of control in 2005. Housing production was actually pretty normal! ...
... What was exceptional was the deep post-2007 housing bust—driven I think by the mistaken belief there had been a big housing bubble. https://t.co/MEOt8eRT7J This chart helps to illustrate why home prices have risen so much in the last few years: the sticker price is at a record high, low interest rates ...
... So people keep upping their bids. https://t.co/TfGPftqOoj I'm grateful to @PEWilliams_ for giving me the data to make this chart. ...
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... This @JosephPolitano writeup is invaluable for understanding how this works. https://t.co/mmlaHCOVYW https://t.co/xtCyVhGzZl The use of OER to measure housing costs strikes a lot of people as goofy when they first hear about it. ...
... You could survey homeowners on their mortgage payments, but then would you price it based on the mortgages people actually pay (which would include people who bought homes 20 years ago and therefore have tiny payments) or what they would pay if they bought their house now? ...
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... I'm reading @mattyglesias and thinking that bubble-phobia was a major factor behind the bad economic performance of the Bush and Obama years. https://t.co/p8zhQAIA2D https://t.co/xBi4kjjAXK In the early 2000s, people exaggerated the frothiness of the tech bubble and the harms from its crash. ...
... When a sluggish recovery finally started to gain steam in 2004-5, triggering a housing boom, people once again over-estimated its frothiness. This bubble frame caused the Fed to react too slowly to the onset of the Great Recession from December 2007 to September 2008. ...
... Then the idea that 1999 and 2006 were driven by unsustainable bubbles, as opposed to just being healthy economic booms, prevented people from recognizing how far the US economy was below potential from 2010 to 2015. ...
... People in the early 2010s assumed we had to live with a permanently shitty economy to avoid having more bubbles. But now we know that was wrong. The economy was still way below potential in 2015, and it's possible to recover rapidly from a recession with appropriate macro policy. ...
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... [https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/how-emotionally-intelligent-people-use-send-a-bible-rule-to-become-remarkably-more-memorable.html](https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/how-emotionally-intelligent-people-use-send-a-bible-rule-to-become-remarkably-more-memorable.html) ...
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... In a despotism society, legitimacy is a harder problem since the elite needs to see the single despot as a legitimate ruler. In an oligarchy republic, one politician can exploit popular support to overcome other competitors, and in extremes become a despotist. ...
... The legitimacy problem - i.e. how the members of the society accept the political institution, is only a problem within the elites. For the non-elite population, such questions can be easily settled through political manipulation, like Cesar and Hitler. ...
... Some of them may utilize popular support to overthrow the institution, but it's a kind of manipulation - not that the population awakens to some more legitimate alternatives. ...
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... The foundational idea of the End of History is inherited from Hegel - man's desire for recognition overriding other desires (mainly preservation) is something that transcends humans, something that proves man's freedom. ...
... This is an outdated view that sees humans as isolated individuals rather than members of social groups. This desire for recognition is probably a product of group competition and the recognition is about one's worth to the community in the context of fierce group competition between communities. ...
... In *End of History,* Fukuyama took one paragraph to dismiss nationalism as an irrational one in contrast with the desire for recognition at the individual level. This distinction, as demonstrated above, is not well-founded. ...
... It's more evident that the majority of a social group is prone to manipulation, be it religion, ideologies, etc while liberal democracy is just one of them to support elected orligarchy. And that is supported by group competition theories. ...
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... History started when human species began to dominate the ecologic environment and started to compete for survival as social groups, it will end when the survival competition between social groups ends. ...
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... Most of the analysis from Fukuyama's end of history would fall apart in a scenario in which state competition no longer exists. ...
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... Hegel declared this as the end of the history and went on to claim that liberal societies were free from contradiction and would therefore bring historical dialectic to a close. ...
... My critique: can we claim absolute self-consciousness when we still don't know how evolution history formed our biological nature? Is that something attainable only after theories like EDSC is in man's consciousness? ...
... As for "liberal societies free from contradiction", is the universal equality and the need for struggling in social group competition a contradiction? ...
... A liberal society can't just focus on its own principles of equal rights, it still has to serve another survival function: to compete with other social groups, liberal or not. Isn't that a contradiction? ...
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... Only groups in which members fall to this kind of manipulation by their leaders can win against groups in which no one is as "foolish". Thus group selection (i.e. gene pool) will have adaption pressure on having some gene member manipulators and others manipulatees. ...
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... I.e. when there is only one social group: the human race. Does that mean will can have a more radical democracy? E.g. instead of voting for policies, each person simply submit their prioritization of her desires and needs. ...
... Then the government (human or AI) will simply produce a policy that maximize utility for the entire human population. ...
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... For most people, does a new understanding of human nature actually change our behaviors? E.g. We came to understand that evolution made us care more about our own children than our neighbors'. Will that understanding change our behavior? ...
... What if we come to understand that evolution made us prone to hate people from outside groups? What does history tell us about this? ...
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