Everything net
Everything relevant to the thought
... In popular media, there is often a connection drawn between the advent of awareness in artificial agents and those same agents simultaneously achieving human or superhuman level intelligence. ...
... We find that all three theories specifically relate conscious function to some aspect of domain-general intelligence in humans. ...
... Given this apparent trend, we use the motivating example of mental time travel in humans to propose ways in which insights from each of the three theories may be combined into a unified model. ...
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... I have no idea. https://t.co/kFojw7CxsT This chart debunks the widely-held belief that housing construction was out of control in 2005. Housing production was actually pretty normal! ...
... What was exceptional was the deep post-2007 housing bust—driven I think by the mistaken belief there had been a big housing bubble. https://t.co/MEOt8eRT7J This chart helps to illustrate why home prices have risen so much in the last few years: the sticker price is at a record high, low interest rates ...
... So people keep upping their bids. https://t.co/TfGPftqOoj I'm grateful to @PEWilliams_ for giving me the data to make this chart. ...
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... This @JosephPolitano writeup is invaluable for understanding how this works. https://t.co/mmlaHCOVYW https://t.co/xtCyVhGzZl The use of OER to measure housing costs strikes a lot of people as goofy when they first hear about it. ...
... You could survey homeowners on their mortgage payments, but then would you price it based on the mortgages people actually pay (which would include people who bought homes 20 years ago and therefore have tiny payments) or what they would pay if they bought their house now? ...
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... I'm reading @mattyglesias and thinking that bubble-phobia was a major factor behind the bad economic performance of the Bush and Obama years. https://t.co/p8zhQAIA2D https://t.co/xBi4kjjAXK In the early 2000s, people exaggerated the frothiness of the tech bubble and the harms from its crash. ...
... When a sluggish recovery finally started to gain steam in 2004-5, triggering a housing boom, people once again over-estimated its frothiness. This bubble frame caused the Fed to react too slowly to the onset of the Great Recession from December 2007 to September 2008. ...
... Then the idea that 1999 and 2006 were driven by unsustainable bubbles, as opposed to just being healthy economic booms, prevented people from recognizing how far the US economy was below potential from 2010 to 2015. ...
... People in the early 2010s assumed we had to live with a permanently shitty economy to avoid having more bubbles. But now we know that was wrong. The economy was still way below potential in 2015, and it's possible to recover rapidly from a recession with appropriate macro policy. ...
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... This might be the single most important chart for understanding the current inflation situation. For 25 years prior to 2020, the prices of durable goods like cars, washing machines, and couches fell every single year. ...
... As @DavidBeckworth has argued, there's no reason to think anything has fundamentally changed about the deflationary nature of durable goods industries. Once they've adjusted to this demand shock, we should start to see demand trending back down. ...
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... For teachers who don't understand Asian heritage languages, how to encourage children's multilingual development in the classroom? ...
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... Thread… Here’s my basic understanding of the model: the economy has some industries that are capital intensive and others that are not. When the central bank makes interest rates artificially low, it makes capital investment cheap and skews the economy toward capital intensive sectors. ...
... Society needs to produce fewer factories and machine tools and more beer and pairs of pants (or whatever). ...
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... There were many examples of the impacts Darwinism made on societies. With a secular understanding of where the human species came from, humans became more accepting of human nature with religion fading further to the back seat. ...
... For example, sex was no longer deemed a sin, self pursuits of pleasure (without negatively affecting anyone else) are all natural and nothing immoral. ...
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... Thus there is adaptive pressure for religious belief or spirituality. ...
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... We can understand it through biology, evolutionary theories, social science. Almost every aspects of human behavior can be explained with the internal logic discovered by these scientific studies. ...
... It's only when we truly understand the origin of these behaviors, then we can possibly make some choices in deciding the meaning of being human. ...
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... If Rousseau's speculative theory of human nature can have so much influence in the French revolution, a scientific evidence-based theory of human nature should be even more impactful. Instead, most people's understanding of human nature still stays at the Rousseau v.s. Hobbes level. ...
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... Another possibly more direct link between art appreciation and social competition might be that the appreciation of art is an anchor for developing a common appreciation of abstract things and serves as a foundation for stronger social coherence such as religion which is also about common beliefs of ...
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... Human brains have no biological apparatus for logic thinking (or, more broadly speaking, system 2 thinking). This is in contrast with the fact that human language faculties are more likely supported by prewired circuitries. ...
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According to Peter Watson in his "ideas", The distinction between optimistic and pessimistic view of human nature was the origin of conservatism and liberalism, i.e. left and right. What will a unification of understanding of human nature mean for the political devide then?
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... The understanding of intergroup aggression as an evolutionary mismatch just like preference over sugar and fat might change intergroup aggression. ...
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