Everything net
One mundane series of thoughts can be formulated ...
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... A new theory of consciousness suggests decisions are made unconsciously, then about half a second later, they become conscious. ...

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... In this work, we explore the validity and potential application of this seemingly intuitive link between consciousness and intelligence. ...

... We do so by examining the cognitive abilities associated with three contemporary theories of conscious function: Global Workspace Theory (GWT), Information Generation Theory (IGT), and Attention Schema Theory (AST). ...

... We find that all three theories specifically relate conscious function to some aspect of domain-general intelligence in humans. ...

... We believe that doing so can enable the development of artificial agents which are not only more generally intelligent but are also consistent with multiple current theories of conscious function. ...

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... I think most Americans underestimate how much more dysfunctional our constitutional/political system could become. I think people mostly still think about the changes of the last 30 years in terms of the tone of political arguments getting nastier: annoying but ultimately not that important. ...

... But I think the governments ability to deal proactively with emerging problems has been degraded significantly. Many aspects of government are coasting along, overseen by agencies created between 1932 and 1972 but whose enabling legislation is increasingly out of date. ...

... There is a lot of room for this stuff to get much worse as congress continues ignoring festering problems and the executive is left with more and more de facto authority. ...

... Meanwhile I think we are going to continue to have more government shutdowns, 1/6 style chaos, etc. at some point this will coincide with an emergency and it will cause big problems. ...

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... OK, one report I was waiting for: the Employment Cost Index. ...

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... Yes, I know the HODLers see it as a buying opportunity, and they could be right — not doing price predictions, just trying to think this through 1/ First: crypto faithful comparing this to "crypto winter" of 2017-18, which was comparable in percentage terms. ...

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... As @DavidBeckworth has argued, there's no reason to think anything has fundamentally changed about the deflationary nature of durable goods industries. Once they've adjusted to this demand shock, we should start to see demand trending back down. ...

... It might take another year or two, especially for car companies waiting for computer chips. But they'll get there. And when they do we should see durables prices start to trend back down again. A bunch more charts that explain the economy here. https://t.co/gtVBWwesGH ...

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... Personally I think the most likely story is that the BLS (slightly) changed its methodology in the 1990s because it thought the new methodology would more accurately capture the true inflation rate. ...

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... In the Austrian theory, a recession is a process of resource re-allocation from capital-intensive to capital-light industries. Society needs to produce fewer factories and machine tools and more beer and pairs of pants (or whatever). ...

... In the Austrian theory, it’s important that central banks don’t interrupt this process by pushing interest rates back down to unnaturally low levels, because that interferes with this necessary re-allocation process. Ok so let’s think about 2006 to 2009. ...

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... For a prediction made by the hypothesis followed by an observation invalidating it. ...

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p/algebra of mind
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... It enables the learning cycle of observations -> hypotheses -> predictions -> correct with observations. This can be argued for [philosophically](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/W2wRBi5mSeGueEYevUjMzw) and [neuroscientifically](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M4p8C9lOTRu8ipf5zGtEJA). ...

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the mind net
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... This mental language is thought to be distinct from natural languages like English or Spanish, and it is believed to be the medium through which we think and process information. ...

... Instead, it is thought to be a universal language that is used by all humans to represent and process complex ideas. Link: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/language-thought/ ...

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p/investing
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... The controlled hallucination process is also a hypotheses-prediction-observation correction learning process. Brains can learn brand new concepts by generating new hypotheses about the world, making predictions about the sensory input, and correcting according to observation (actual sensory input) ...

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... Human perception is a controlled/controlling hallucination process in which the brain 1\. constantly generates hypotheses of the world around and 2\. makes predictions about incoming sensory signals based on these hypotheses 3\. correct hypotheses according to differences between observations \(actual ...

... sensory signals and predictions\. \) ...

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... Here is an example: **Me**: I have a hypothesis. Cortical columns make classifications based on raw sensory inputs as well as classification signals from other columns. They learn by predicting incoming raw sensory inputs as well as classification signals from other columns. ...

... One column's prediction error helps its own learning, as well as other columns' learning when the prediction was made with input from their classification signals. What do you think of my hypothesis? ...

... **ChatGPT**: Your hypothesis describes a process that is similar to how the brain is thought to process and classify sensory information. Cortical columns, which are groups of neurons in the cerebral cortex, are thought to play a role in processing and classifying sensory information. ...

... They do this by receiving input from sensory organs and then making predictions about what this input represents. These predictions are then compared to the actual input, and any discrepancies between the two are used to update the column's understanding of the sensory information. ...

... It is also thought that cortical columns communicate with each other, sharing information about the sensory input they have received and the predictions they have made. ...

... This can help to improve the overall accuracy of the predictions made by the brain, as different columns may have different strengths and areas of expertise in processing different types of sensory information. ...

... Overall, your hypothesis captures some of the key principles of how the brain processes and classifies sensory information, and it is generally consistent with current understanding of this process. ...

... There may be additional factors and processes at play that are not captured in your hypothesis. ...

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p/Investing
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... The scientific process being [the observation-hypotheses-prediction](https://www.themind.net/observations/DVaW4GpQQsqfqcidS2Aivw) process. ...

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**Observation:** An observed empirical fact, indisputable for reasonable people. **Hypothesis:** A conjecture that is generalized from observations (induction), or deducted from other hypotheses (deduction). Collectively, hypotheses constitute our model (or theory) of the world. A hypothesis, often together with other hypotheses, can produce predictions. We use the broadest sense of this word, not limited to untested theories of how something works. It encompasses assumption, theory, putative knowledge, and the narrow sense of hypothesis. **Prediction:** A yet-to-be-made observation or (observational categorical per Quine). It's usually based on one or more hypotheses. The relationships between these categories of thoughts are fixed. In another sentence, there is an algebra in these elements of thoughts. This theory (or "hypothesis" as defined in itself) has [a philosophical basis](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M1qolEkbTje29ze62yEfQg): our knowledge of the world consists solely of prediction models. and [a neuroscience one](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M4p8C9lOTRu8ipf5zGtEJA) (and [independently](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/n3Tx6wlrSWOjsXHSYggrFQ).) Out brain's intelligence is solely neurons trained to that predicts inputs working collectively.
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