Everything net
Everything relevant to the thought
... Biden is definitely on track to be one of those presidents nobody remembers like Carter, taft, or Harrison. ...
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... You don't need to go to CPT to argue that "deep down" there is no such thing as causality. Newtonian mechanics is also governed by algebraic equalities, so it is symmetric, telling us that f=ma is as valid as a=f/m. ...
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... So if Newt Gingrich forced the BLS to lower the CPI as a backdoor way of cutting Social Security payments, did he force the BEA to do the same thing so it wouldn't look suspicious? ...
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... pivot, which I was able to incorporate 1/ https://t.co/LwvwHJ6lgv I say sort-of pivot because while the Fed has stopped saying "transitory", it still seems to believe that much of the inflation we're currently experiencing will fade away without the need to impose a lot of economic pain 2/ One odd thing ...
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... Here I've compared the US to four major Eurozone countries that had "bubbles" in the 2000s (Germany didn't). https://t.co/XauaEPtn54 This chart definitely complicates my argument, since Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands all experienced significant downturns in housing prices. ...
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... As a result, inflation starts to inch up, and central banks are forced to raise interest rates to cool things off. So far this is an entirely conventional account of how business cycles work. But now things get weird. ...
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... And I'm puzzled about the vehemence 1/ Let's stipulate two things. 1. Monopoly is a real issue and problem in the US economy. 2. It is not, however, a major reason for the acceleration of inflation in 2021, nor can a crackdown on monopoly do a lot to bring inflation down. ...
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... bitcoins mined in 2021; at $50K each, that's around 0.2% of US GDP 5/ By contrast, residential investment peaked at almost 7% of GDP and fell by more than 4% 6/ https://t.co/PDSNM4BV7l And there surely isn't enough leveraged buying of crypto to create 2008-type financial stability risks, although things ...
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... **Hypothesis:** A conjecture that is generalized from observations (induction), or deducted from other hypotheses (deduction). Collectively, hypotheses constitute our model (or theory) of the world. A hypothesis, often together with other hypotheses, can produce predictions. ...
... It encompasses assumption, theory, putative knowledge, and the narrow sense of hypothesis. **Prediction:** A yet-to-be-made observation or (observational categorical per Quine). It's usually based on one or more hypotheses. The relationships between these categories of thoughts are fixed. ...
... This theory (or "hypothesis" as defined in itself) has [a philosophical basis](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M1qolEkbTje29ze62yEfQg): our knowledge of the world consists solely of prediction models. ...
... and [a neuroscience one](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M4p8C9lOTRu8ipf5zGtEJA) (and [independently](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/n3Tx6wlrSWOjsXHSYggrFQ).) Out brain's intelligence is solely neurons trained to that predicts inputs working collectively. ...
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... It enables the learning cycle of observations -> hypotheses -> predictions -> correct with observations. This can be argued for [philosophically](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/W2wRBi5mSeGueEYevUjMzw) and [neuroscientifically](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M4p8C9lOTRu8ipf5zGtEJA). ...
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... Tom's thinking process and decision-making barely come into his consciousness, but the actual process can be organized into observation, hypothesis, and prediction. When he entered the room, he made the observation that something looks like a chair in the room. ...
... Then there is the hypothesis that the thing **is** a chair. Finally, he made the prediction that if he sits on it, he will be supported. ...
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... For a prediction made by the hypothesis followed by an observation invalidating it. ...
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... [This theory](https://themind.net/references/qwoOUjrRSwaFZrY5G3vEEA), as pointed out by the paper, can have a great impact if widely understood by the general public > though their effect on human self-understanding and self-images, will eventually assist us in dealing with not only the traumas of ...
... More specifics of this theory [Dealing with social circumstances was the real challenge in human evolution](https://themind.net/references/gcEc3uCVR_ePqgoY_DPriA) [Why humans continue to live in groups](https://themind.net/references/GjY_8sBoS4CFHn23oOoz9g) Recent research on [Human large-scale cooperation ...
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... More specifically, a network of ideas, thoughts, propositions, observations, things that live in our minds. Imagine we can connect things in our minds with things in other people's minds. ...
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