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A pragmatist definition of free will
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... The United States should craft a strategy aimed at altering the calculus of Beijing’s decision-makers. ...

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China U.S. Foreign Policy Discussion reply
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... A new theory of consciousness suggests decisions are made unconsciously, then about half a second later, they become conscious. ...

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... Biden is definitely on track to be one of those presidents nobody remembers like Carter, taft, or Harrison. ...

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... I offered to do this work for free but he said it was better to pay for legal reasons. I expect to do a bit more of this in 2022. Our subscription revenues aren't yet close replacing my Ars salary. ...

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... I've been noting that we're currently seeing a surge in real house prices up to 2000s-bubble levels 1/ https://t.co/ukUAXznGpk But the 2000s bubble was geographically very uneven: prices surged in cities with strict zoning, but not in places where developers were free to sprawl => elastic housing ...

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... In the Austrian theory, a recession is a process of resource re-allocation from capital-intensive to capital-light industries. Society needs to produce fewer factories and machine tools and more beer and pairs of pants (or whatever). ...

... In the Austrian theory, it’s important that central banks don’t interrupt this process by pushing interest rates back down to unnaturally low levels, because that interferes with this necessary re-allocation process. Ok so let’s think about 2006 to 2009. ...

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... Here I've compared the US to four major Eurozone countries that had "bubbles" in the 2000s (Germany didn't). https://t.co/XauaEPtn54 This chart definitely complicates my argument, since Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands all experienced significant downturns in housing prices. ...

2796 characters.

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Determinism can only be meaningful when it has practical implications, that is when the development of a system can be predicted ...(179 more characters.)
free will philosophy
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... Although the definition of "hypothesis" is narrower in science - a hypothesis in science usually refers to a theory that explains **how** things work. Propositions such as "It's okay to eat bruised apple" or "Mr. Huckabee is a bad politician." are not regarded as hypotheses. ...

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... Human perception is a controlled/controlling hallucination process in which the brain 1\. constantly generates hypotheses of the world around and 2\. makes predictions about incoming sensory signals based on these hypotheses 3\. correct hypotheses according to differences between observations \(actual ...

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... The controlled hallucination process is also a hypotheses-prediction-observation correction learning process. Brains can learn brand new concepts by generating new hypotheses about the world, making predictions about the sensory input, and correcting according to observation (actual sensory input) ...

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... Tom's thinking process and decision-making barely come into his consciousness, but the actual process can be organized into observation, hypothesis, and prediction. When he entered the room, he made the observation that something looks like a chair in the room. ...

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The brain learns by constantly making predictions and making corrections (in its wiring) to approach close to the actual ...(9 more characters.)
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... This is, by definition, contradictory to the relativistic moral non-objectivism view. ...

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... As defined by Quine, a sentence that is true by virtue of meaning (it becomes true to a reader at once he understands it) maybe for now just call definition. ...

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p/algebra of mind
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