Everything net
Everything relevant to the thought
... Communicating via multiple attentions is more effective in getting your point across because it creates for a more memorable moment. For example, combining physical, auditory, and humorous delivery. ...
... [https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/how-emotionally-intelligent-people-use-send-a-bible-rule-to-become-remarkably-more-memorable.html](https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/how-emotionally-intelligent-people-use-send-a-bible-rule-to-become-remarkably-more-memorable.html) ...
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... In popular media, there is often a connection drawn between the advent of awareness in artificial agents and those same agents simultaneously achieving human or superhuman level intelligence. ...
... In this work, we explore the validity and potential application of this seemingly intuitive link between consciousness and intelligence. ...
... We find that all three theories specifically relate conscious function to some aspect of domain-general intelligence in humans. ...
... With this insight, we turn to the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and find that, while still far from demonstrating general intelligence, many state-of-the-art deep learning methods have begun to incorporate key aspects of each of the three functional theories. ...
... Given this apparent trend, we use the motivating example of mental time travel in humans to propose ways in which insights from each of the three theories may be combined into a unified model. ...
... We believe that doing so can enable the development of artificial agents which are not only more generally intelligent but are also consistent with multiple current theories of conscious function. ...
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... Meaning that an economy has a long run potential level of output that it will return to regardless of what policy the central bank pursues. This makes no sense to me. ...
... So imagine a sadistic central bank whose monetary policy is to target a 1 percent decline of real output each year. There's no "long run" point where the economy will return to its pre-recession trend. Output will continue shrinking as long as the central bank pursues this policy. ...
... But let's assume we're talking about a non-sadistic central bank that's at least trying to return the economy to its long-run potential. The assumption of long-run neutrality still doesn't seem plausible. Suicide rates go up during recessions. ...
... https://t.co/oaOKpGkvvd I wonder if what happened was that economists originally meant “money is more neutral in the long run than Keynesians thought in the 1960s” and over time that context has been forgotten. I can also believe that money is more long-run neutral in high inflation environments. ...
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... Yes, I know the HODLers see it as a buying opportunity, and they could be right — not doing price predictions, just trying to think this through 1/ First: crypto faithful comparing this to "crypto winter" of 2017-18, which was comparable in percentage terms. ...
... . $1.5 trillion is about 7% of US GDP, and many of the losses falling on residents of other countries 3/ For comparison, post-2006 housing bust wiped out wealth = ~60 percent of US GDP 4/ https://t.co/2lYIqfPSt9 Also, coin mining, although environmentally destructive and a big stress on some national ...
... If I'm reading the numbers right, around 800K bitcoins mined in 2021; at $50K each, that's around 0.2% of US GDP 5/ By contrast, residential investment peaked at almost 7% of GDP and fell by more than 4% 6/ https://t.co/PDSNM4BV7l And there surely isn't enough leveraged buying of crypto to create 2008 ...
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... From 1987 to 2011 (and also long before then I think), manufacturing workers got faster more quickly than other workers. But in the last decade US manufacturing productivity hasn't improved at all. Why? ...
... I have no idea. https://t.co/kFojw7CxsT This chart debunks the widely-held belief that housing construction was out of control in 2005. Housing production was actually pretty normal! ...
... was exceptional was the deep post-2007 housing bust—driven I think by the mistaken belief there had been a big housing bubble. https://t.co/MEOt8eRT7J This chart helps to illustrate why home prices have risen so much in the last few years: the sticker price is at a record high, low interest rates mean ...
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... But they may offer some evidence on whether a wage-price spiral is likely 5/ Other surveys, for example, of planned compensation also show no sign of a spiral; nor is there any indication of expectation-driven price or wage increases in the Fed's latest Beige Book 6/ https://t.co/wxyF4CUUab Again, ...
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... **Observation:** An observed empirical fact, indisputable for reasonable people. **Hypothesis:** A conjecture that is generalized from observations (induction), or deducted from other hypotheses (deduction). Collectively, hypotheses constitute our model (or theory) of the world. ...
... A hypothesis, often together with other hypotheses, can produce predictions. We use the broadest sense of this word, not limited to untested theories of how something works. It encompasses assumption, theory, putative knowledge, and the narrow sense of hypothesis. ...
... **Prediction:** A yet-to-be-made observation or (observational categorical per Quine). It's usually based on one or more hypotheses. The relationships between these categories of thoughts are fixed. In another sentence, there is an algebra in these elements of thoughts. ...
... This theory (or "hypothesis" as defined in itself) has [a philosophical basis](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M1qolEkbTje29ze62yEfQg): our knowledge of the world consists solely of prediction models. ...
... and [a neuroscience one](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M4p8C9lOTRu8ipf5zGtEJA) (and [independently](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/n3Tx6wlrSWOjsXHSYggrFQ).) Out brain's intelligence is solely neurons trained to that predicts inputs working collectively. ...
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... Thanks to the intrinsic set of fixed relationships between them, this formalization provides a helpful structure to our inquiry. It enables the learning cycle of observations -> hypotheses -> predictions -> correct with observations. ...
... This can be argued for [philosophically](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/W2wRBi5mSeGueEYevUjMzw) and [neuroscientifically](https://www.themind.net/hypotheses/M4p8C9lOTRu8ipf5zGtEJA). ...
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... The mind net is about connecting thoughts and ideas within and between minds. Through these connections and visualizations of them, the mind net aims to unlock new possibilities of human understanding and innovation. ...
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... Aggregation of opinions over the thoughts and ideas in a digitalized collective mind to give them different weights and importance might be the way to achieve CI in DCM. ...
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... More specifically, a network of ideas, thoughts, propositions, observations, things that live in our minds. Imagine we can connect things in our minds with things in other people's minds. ...
... As explained by the book "Where Good Ideas Come From: The Natural History of Innovation", being able to make connections between ideas in different minds has been critical for human innovations. ...
... To date, such connections are made through reading publications, which are very formal, linearly structured, and unilateral, or through conversations, which are casual, divergent, and rarely structured. ...
... Imagine if we have a medium that is specifically designed to facilitate connections between ideas in different minds. This medium is structured but allows easy divergence, multilateral and asynchronous. ...
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... [The net view](https://www.themind.net/mapItems/Hypothesis/348E44hASHa7AvgODCLkyg/net/?netViewMode=FormalGraph) ...
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... But such a link is one-way: the reader of the linking item can easily go to the linked one but not the other way around. The mind net aim to make such links bi-directional. ...
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... The goal: promote human understanding and innovation The means: 1\. Facilitate collaboration in thinking\, especially within spontaneously formed groups of people\. 2\. Facilitate distilling/transcending theories from atomic and spontaneously formed ideas within and between individuals\. ...
... Record thoughts\. 2\. Discovery of connected thoughts 3\. Visualization of networks of connected thoughts ...
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